User blog:Hurricane Layten/April 4, 2017 outlook

OK, straight into todays outlook. There is a double Enhanced Risk today, one concerning tornadoes, the other large hail. Both areas have a potential for damaging winds.

The first area, over parts of northeast OK, southeast KS, and far southwestern MO, holds a 30% chance of significant large hail, as well as a 10% chance of damaging winds. There also appears to be a 2% probability of tornadoes, but this isnt as much of a concern as it has been in recent outlooks. As usual, there is the Slight Risk that surrounds this area, along with the Marginal.

The second, more significant Enhanced Risk area lies across eastern central MS and western central AL, and has a 10% chance of tornadoes relating to severe thunderstorms. These storms also have a 15% chance of producing damaging wind gusts, as well as a 15% chance of significant large hail. The Slight Risk area surrounding this area covers most of AL,as well as a significant portion of southern MS, extreme western FL, and extreme southeast LA.

Now, onto yesterdays significant tornado reports. There were injuries relating to a confirmed tornado in Monroe County when it damaged 30 homes in the process.

I dont normally do this much now, but tomorrow is a Moderate Risk for parts of AL, FL and SC, as well as most of GA. Looking at the outlook, which is posted on the homepage as well for anyone who is interested, another possible tornado outbreak could happen. If this does happen, a High Risk is also likely, as several may be strong and/or long lived in highly populated areas of the southeast.

I'll update this post if its needed, as usual.