User blog:Hurricane Layten/This weeks outbreak

As I say on every post, I will continue to blog the latest information when there is a severe weather threat, and so here it goes.

Today now has a large area of Marginal Risk, compromising as parts of TX, LA, OK, AR, and KS. Although only strong thunderstorms are the only risk at this time, I believe this might change later on as the mid-level trough continues to slowly amplify. I wold not be surprised to see a Slight Risk issued later on as the threat continues to increase, but we will just have to see on that one.

Now, onto the more serious matters. An Enhanced Risk is already in effect for tomorrows anticipated tornado event. An Enhanced Risk is forecast for parts of AR, KY, IL, MI and TN. The main risk is forecast to be greatest during the afternoon supercells, which will bring, as always, dominantly severe wind and hail risks. A Slight Risk covers the areas around the Enhanced outlook, which includes parts of IN, OH, TN and MO. The Marginal Risk includes parts of TX, as well as the rest of the areas not covered for IL, OH, and other states surrounding the Slight Risk area.

Now on to Wednesday's outlook, which to be honest looks alarming already. Although tagged as Enhanced Risk on the current outlooks, i would not be surprised if a Moderate Risk were to be tagged on tomorrows outlooks. Again, the risk consists of dominantly severe wind and hail events, and although the risk is uncertain at this time, some possible tornadoes could also occur. The Enhanced Risk covers areas of AL, TN, GA, MS and KY. The Slight Risk area now covers areas of LA, OK, TN, AR, MS, AL, and most of the East Coast. In addition to these areas, a Marginal Risk is now expected to be surrounding areas near the Slight Risk, which now includes areas of extreme northern FL.

As always, I will update this post before the events, and issue new posts to update during the event and afterwards. Id you are in the areas expected to be affected, please stay up to date on the latest information.