2019 Empire State Outbreak

On July 7th, 2019, a moderate tornado outbreak took place entirely in the state of New York. A cold front combined with a large area of moisture centered over central New York state gave birth to a multitude of supercellular storms, many of them tornadic. A total of 22 tornadoes touched down, causing widespread damage throughout the state.

Meteorological Synopsis
On July 5th, 2019, a marginal risk area was declared for a few states in the northeast. As the next few days progressed, an area of moisture that was forecast to mostly diminish, persisted. On July 6th, a slight risk area was issued for parts of Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts, and Vermont. On July 7th, an enhanced risk area was issued inside of the slight risk area. The tornado probability was forecast at a 10% likelihood for a portion of central New York state, and the stage was set for a tornado outbreak.

Confirmed Tornadoes
{| class="wikitable"



!F#

!Location

!Time (UTC)

!Path length

!Damage



|colspan="7" align=center|New York



|bgcolor=# | EF1

|SE Meridian


 * 1751


 * 1.5 miles


 * Caused low-end EF-0 damage to houses on Bonta Bridge Road, and ripped the roof off of a house on Cottrell Road. Downed trees along the way.



|bgcolor=# | EF1

|Navarino


 * 1756


 * 2.3 miles


 * Touched down just north of Amber, caused multiple incidents of high-end EF-1 damage along Amber Road on the way into Navarino. It missed the center of down by less than half a mile, however it did cause extensive damage to a few houses and downed some trees just to the southeast.



|bgcolor=# | EF0

|Volney


 * 1764


 * 2.2 miles


 * Downed trees and caused structural damage around the Emery and Weller Road areas.



|bgcolor=# | EF2

|North Syracuse


 * 1768


 * 3.8 miles


 * Touched down 4.4 miles north of downtown Syracuse, just northwest of Syracuse Hancock International Airport. It immediately hit a U.S. Post Office distribution center, causing high-end EF-0 damage to the structure. Paralleling I-81, the tornado proceeded into the densely populated area of North Syracuse. The tornado ripped a corrugated metal roof off of a meat packing company along Gateway Park Drive. It then traveled into the residential areas of North Syracuse, causing extensive structural damage and downing many trees and power lines. The tornado caused the most damage along Van Mara Drive, where one house was almost completely destroyed along with three others that had their roofs ripped clean off. Most of the trees in the vicinity were either snapped or uprooted, and a multitude of power lines were downed, leaving the area with no electricity for a few hours. This damage earned the tornado its EF-2 rating.



|bgcolor=# | EF2

|Maple View


 * 1772


 * 11.5 miles


 * This tornado touched down southwest of Hastings, and would soon become the longest-track tornado of the outbreak. Although tame in appearance at first, the uncondensed bowl funnel soon reached the ground as a swirling multi-vortex tornado. The tornado tore through Colosse, causing high-end EF-1 damage to some of the surrounding houses. The tornado then continued northeast towards Maple View, downing trees along the way. The tornado intensified before hitting the town, and it reached EF-2 intensity. The houses along Route 104 were hit the hardest, with one being severely damaged. The tornado continued northward, and crossed I-81 as a weak EF-0 before dissipating.