User blog:SPCBlackfordCounty995Main/30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER ON SUNDAY...INCLUDES MY FUTURE LIVE STREAM LINK

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   0257 AM CST Thu Jan 19 2017 Valid 221200Z - 271200Z CORRECTED TO ADD MISSING WORD ...DISCUSSION...   ...Southeast Atlantic coast Sunday/day 4... Substantial cyclogenesis is expected, generally in the immediate lee of the southern Appalachians, Sunday into Monday morning as a strong mid-upper shortwave trough traverses the Southeast and Gulf basin. There are some differences in the details regarding the cyclogenesis and lingering influences of a lead speed max early in the period. However, the scenario still appears favorable for a squall line to   form along or in advance of the synoptic cold front which will then move across parts of FL/GA and the Carolinas. Given an established moist boundary layer across the Gulf basin already, an unstable warm sector appears likely in advance of the cold front. Given weak-moderate buoyancy and very strong low-midlevel vertical shear in the warm sector, there will be the potential for substantial severe weather, especially across parts of GA/FL where instability will be less in question. ...Day 5/Monday and beyond... In the wake of the strong cyclone/cold front, only limited moisture return is expected ahead of another cold front that will approach the Gulf coast days 6-7, along the southern fringe of a   positive-tilt upper trough. ..Thompson.. 01/19/2017 Here is the coverage live stream that will start at 7:30AM ET/4:30AM PT on 1/22/2017: January 22, 2017 Severe Weather Event Live Stream (the stream will end at 9:30PM ET/6:30PM PT)