User blog:Hurricane Layten/Tornado outbreak increasingly likely on Day 5

The latest forecasts from the NWS SPC indicate a larger 15% hatched risk area for Day 5 of the convective outlook. This has also been extended to now cover areas of IL, MI, IN and OH. The primary threat is expected to be a squall line, with widespread severe wind and hail. However, as with most squall lines, the chances of tornadoes cannot be ruled out, and I expect at least a few will touch down along the line on the day in question.

As for the rest of the outlook, days 4, 6, and 7 indicate the possibility of severe weather on some model runs, though this has been unspecified as to what the exact threat will be. One thing is fro certain though: The system responsible for yesterdays severe thunderstorms is weakening, and will likely merge with the new system in a few days time to set up the conditions needed for the next severe weather outbreak.

As always, I will update when a new forecast is issued by the SPC, and if you are in the specified areas, please stay safe and keep watch as the situation develops.