User blog:Hurricane Layten/Likely tornado risk in extended SPC outlook

Hi guys, I just a quick update on the potential tornado risk in the near future.

The ECMWF and GPS, the 2 extended Cape models, and the show a deep cyclone moving through the central plains and moving northeastwards.

Although conditions favour severe thunderstorms on day 7, moisture is a concern at this point in time. Day 8, as the SPC says, the supports the risk of all types of severe weather, and this includes tornadoes.

At this point, the mentioning of the potential of tornadoes on day 8 of the outlook is a big concern, but I especially when this is so rare to see so far I have advance. This will likely be at least a moderate risk on the day if model solutions are correct, and it could even end up a high risk event.

I'll update as the event comes round.