Hypothetical Tornadoes Wiki

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The 2022 South Canada Super Outbreak was an extremely violent chain of supercell storms and tornadic events between May 8th and May 18th, 2022. Southern Canada and the Northern United States were the most affected, but northern parts of the great plains, some of the Canadian Maritimes, the Prairie Provinces and even the Appalachian region were impacted by the storm. In addition to tornadoes, high wind and hail dropped across huge swaths of the North American Continent, and flooding was prevalent across the Great Lakes and East Coast. The insane scope of the supercell system shocked the world and many large cities would be devastated. Because of the impact of urban areas, the death toll was extraordinarily high. A total of 12,478 people would be dead, including 2,872 indirect deaths. Injuries are as high as 114,000 with 21,000 in serious condition. When mixed with the Covid-19 Pandemic, hospitals were overwhelmed and had to turn away patients. This resulted in a humanitarian crisis, one of never-before-seen size in wealthy countries. Property damage was also extreme, with over $17.6 billion in structural losses.

Pre-Prelude:

Concerns of a significant outbreak across Canada and the United States have existed since March. After a study on Meteorology in the Great Lakes Area and Prairies concluded with worrying results on March 19th, 120 million people were left paranoid. On March 28th a convention about the weather patterns for the spring of 2022 took place, with all parties deciding to make some preparations for a worst-case scenario. Paranoia continued into April, as different cloud systems began to combine and form cumulonimbus clouds. By the time May began to roll around, the largest supercell system in recorded history has formed. Hailstorms and gales shook the region through the early spring, leaving many injured. But this was only a preparation for what was to come...

Prelude:

On May 3rd, 2022, Meteorologist groups study wind patterns in Chatham-Kent. Nothing too unusual happened until major cloud rotation and air temperature discrepancy was detected in thunderstorm clouds over Lake Erie. Upon closer inspection, it was revealed that cloud warmth and ozone holes created what was called an "air loop" in which warm air would wrap low ozone layering and, mixed with cold air, would create the perfect concoction for violent tornadoes. By May 5th, an ozone-infused storm-system stretched across the Great Lakes and beyond. On the morning of May 6th, An emergency alert was issued to residents of Ontario, Quebec, Manitoba, Michigan, Ohio, Indiana, Wisconsin, New York and Pennsylvania. The alert warned of major tornadic danger in the Great Lakes and Prairie areas. Alerts included heavy wind and rain with possible flash-flooding, ping-pong ball sized hail, and strong tornadoes. Meteorologists predicted that this massive storm system could drop the first EF5 tornado in 9 years. Flooding in Chicago, Cleveland, Detroit, Niagara, Toronto, Buffalo, and Montreal occurred the next day. Large hail also fell in areas such as Milwaukee, Duluth, Thunder bay and even Winnipeg. The "May 7th Storm" left a total of 34 dead across the lakes with almost 800 more hospitalized. People knew that they were in for a tornado showdown in May, but little would they know just how massive it was about to be...

May 8th, 2022:

May 8th was the first day to record unusually high tornadic activity, with mother nature dropping 13 related tornadoes. 9 people were left dead, 174 injured, and $216 million in damages. The outbreak was centered around the Great lakes area, but isolated ozone pockets dropped some tornadoes as far as Kentucky.

Winkler-Altona, Manitoba EF3

Weather warnings for southern Manitoba had been in effect for a week prior, as cloudy conditions and frequent thunder sessions concern many residents. At 4:21 CST Local weather watchers in Morden reported to the Manitoba Weather Service of cumulonimbus clouds and possible tornadic activity. A funnel cloud was detected to the east of Morden and the weather service issued a tornado warning to the neighbouring town of Winkler. The tornado hits the town as a low-end EF2 tornado and causes moderate damage to Winkler. Three dozen buildings were damaged, many had roofs largely ripped off and most windows shattered. As the strengthening Tornado continues across farmland, impacting small junction communities such as blumengart, a tornado warning is issued for the nearby town of Altona. Citizens take shelter and brace themselves for a potential EF3 tornado. As the twister now enters low-end EF3 status, with winds of 140 MPH and a width measuring 2/3 of a mile across. Altona was struck head-on by the cone of destruction and sustained severe damage. Over 160 structures sustained damage with 42 completely levelled and vehicles were rolled off roads and into buildings. After wreaking havoc in Altona, the tornado began to abate. Neubergthal and Halbstadt sustained EF2 and EF1 damage respectively, and the tornado lifted just before striking West Lynne. 2 people lost their lives with another 42 left with injuries. Damages total $38 million.

Thunder Bay, Ontario EF4

Tornadic activity is very rare in cold climates, but a powerful, violent EF4 tornado striking a fair-sized city in the frigid climate of western Ontario demonstrated that the possibility still exists. Ridiculous odds dropped a funnel on Kaministquia where several homes sustained low-end EF1 damage. Intense weather conditions fuel the tornado and push it into EF3 status, where it hit Kakabeka Falls and caused devastating damage to the entire town. With EF4 threats looming, a tornado emergency was issued for the Thunder Bay area and its 120,000 inhabitants. Never before had a tornado emergency been issued in Canada. Now bounding the Kaministquia river, the tornado hit the towns of Rosslyn and Twin City. By the time it entered the Thunder Bay city limits, the tornado was a low-end EF4 with wind speeds of 175 MPH. The tornado slashed through southern residential areas of the city and just narrowly missed downtown. Damage in Thunder Bay was catastrophic. Almost 600 buildings were damaged or destroyed, with roofs torn, cars lobbed and smashed, and ground scouring as deep as 3 centimetres in some areas. The tornado dissipated quickly after entering lake superior. 4 people were killed with 70 more injured. Damages estimated were as high as ~$120 million.

Portage la Prairie, Manitoba EF2

In the same supercell as the Winkler-Altona EF3, another mesocyclone was brewing in Wingham, 28 kilometres from Portage la Prairie. The resulting tornado caused high-end EF0 damage to several buildings in the area. The tornado then tracked through Layland as a mid-sized EF1, stripping roofs and overturning vehicles. A tornado warning was issued to Portage la Prairie as the tornado intensified into EF2 status. The Portage la Prairie airport was promptly evacuated as the twister neared. After 17 minutes of life, the tornado finally hit Southport. The airport was badly damaged with several hangers collapsed and two dozen planes affected. Eventually, the tornado crossed the Trans-Canada highway and into Portage la Prairie. Here, the high-end EF2 reached its peak. Around 200 buildings sustained damage with 42 completely destroyed. Buildings had roofs torn and interiors shattered. Roads were littered with pieces of building debris, uprooted trees, smashed cars and a coating of dust. After leaving Portage la Prairie, the tornado quickly lost strength and lifted near Macdonald. 2 people were killed with another 32 injured, 6 seriously. Damages totalled$25 million

Minot-Velva, North Dakota EF3

The weather radar at the Minot Air Force Base started reporting severe thunderstorm activity at 6:24 CST. But by the time a tornado was detected, it was too late. It ripped through the base and caused high-end EF1 damage including several planes badly damaged and tower windows blown out. A Tornado Warning was quickly issued for Minot as the EF2 tornado ripped through Ruthville, flinging vehicles and shredding mobile homes. The tornado continued down US Highway 83, and soon reached the city limits of Minot. Although the airport was narrowly missed, it had to be shut down for three days with pieces of debris littering the runways. Most of downtown was also spared though many commercial buildings did sustain damage in the east. The North Dakota State Fair Center sustained low-end EF3 damage, while Nedrose High School also received similar damage. The tornado crossed into farmland after that but travelled at dizzying speeds as high as 110 km/h, which would put it just below the record of 117 km/h from the Tri-State Tornado of 1925. Sawyer was hit by the twister but only sustained mid-level EF2 damage due to the insane speed the tornado was moving. It quickly sliced through Velva, causing mid-level EF3 damage including many weak structures destroyed and trees debarked. Studies on the tornado movement speed to damage ratio say that had the twister slowed down for more destruction, it would have likely qualified for EF4 status. The tornado did eventually dissipate near the Doyle Landing Strip. One person had died, 23 more with injuries. Around $30 million in property damage

Confirmed
Total
Confirmed
EF0
Confirmed
EF1
Confirmed
EF2
Confirmed
EF3
Confirmed
EF4
Confirmed
EF5
13 5 3 2 2 1 0



May 9th, 2022:

May 9th brought major destruction to dozens of towns and cities. 51 tornadoes were confirmed around Lake Ontario and the nearby regions. 62 people were left dead with 704 injured. Damages reach as high as $1.12 billion. Meteorologists knew it was about to get a lot worse until it got any better, with nasty weather conditions stretching for over a thousand kilometers.

Portland-Biddeford, Maine EF5

In Brunswick, Meteorologists reported a funnel cloud in the forest, headed towards Freeport. EF1 tree damage occurs along US Route 1 before hitting parts of northern Freeport. Buildings sustain mid-level EF2 damage with roofs swept clean and trees pushed over. Although central Yarmouth is missed, low-end EF3 damage occurs to a dozen houses in the forest to the north. At this point, a tornado warning had been issued for Portland, but when EF4 damage was reported in Falmouth, the alert was promptly upgraded to a Tornado Emergency. 5 minutes later, the 170 MPH low-end EF4 tornado was in the city limits of Portland, causing devastating damage. North Deering and Riverton neighbourhoods were directly hit, with reports of high-end EF4 damage. After destroying Nasons Corner, the tornado took a turn east for downtown. Although the city center was narrowly missed, tall buildings on the outskirts of downtown were destroyed. Following this, South Portland was impacted. The Tornado was now an EF5, nearly a mile wide and with winds of 205 MPH. The region was completely flattened. Unstable structures were blown into the air, more solid ones swept clean. At this point, a tornado emergency was issued for Biddeford and nearby towns. As the now-EF4 roughly follows Interstate 95, gulf clubs, inns, supermarkets and historic breweries were badly damaged or destroyed. The tornado took a turn eastward and headed for Fortunes Rocks Beach, where many houses sustained high-end EF2 to low-end EF3 damage. Minutes after becoming a waterspout, the tornado lifts. The deadly tornado claimed 23 lives, injured over 250 more, and caused $403 million in damages.

Belleville-Peterborough, Ontario EF1, EF2 Twins

Warm air from Lake Ontario causes weather conditions to worsen over Rice Lake, and a supercell is reported at 5:15 EST. In Hiawatha, a waterspout is detected a few hundred meters off the coast. Unexpectedly, the small stovepipe makes landfall and causes EF0 damage near the town. Reaching EF1 status, the twister crosses the Otonabee River and enters the city limits of Peterborough and its 90,000 inhabitants. Meanwhile, a second touchdown is reported in Codrington, downing trees and damaging 4 houses. 16 minutes later, it crosses the Trent River and narrowly misses Quinte West. The tornado is now a mid-range EF2 with winds of an estimated 125 MPH. In Peterborough, Coldsprings and Ashburnham sustain high-end EF1 damage when it trails off into the Harold Town Conservation Area. Environment Canada issues a tornado warning for Belleville's 60,000 people. The EF2 soon tears through northern Belleville, causing severe property damage and injuring dozens. Shortly after, the Belleville tornado lifts. The Peterborough EF1 also soon dissipates. The string of tornadoes claimed 2 lives, injured 56 and caused a horrific $180 million in damage.

Concord-Manchester, New Hampshire EF4

A tornado touched down in Penacook and headed for the North Hampshire capital, Concord, doing low-end EF2 damage. The tornado quickly intensifies to a high-end EF3 and hits Hookset, destroying parts of the city. Manchester then prepares for an EF4 tornado as the twister entered. Large buildings collapsed, cars and buses were thrown, and the track of the tornado is visible from an aerial view. Manchester-Boston regional airport was also heavily damaged with the roof torn off the terminal and commercial planes mangled. The tornado dissipated north of Nashua. 132 dead, 5000 injured, and $11 billion in damage.

Fredericton-Saint John, New Brunswick EF5

A large supercell formed near Miramichi and dropped a tornado at Boiestown. The tornado intensifies to an EF3 in Fredericton causing major destruction and severely damaging many tall buildings. The tornado continues South and hits Oromocto as a low-end EF4 and levels 75% of the town. High-end EF4 damage continues to happen in forests and towns, alarming EF5 level damage was seen in Northern Welsford. A tornado emergency was quickly issued for St. John and the tornado destroyed the skyscrapers downtown with 215 MPH winds. The tornado enters the Bay of Fundy and the EF4 waterspout capsized 10 boats and a coast guard station before lifting. 187 people dead, 6000 more injured, $23 billion in damage.

West Sherbrooke, Quebec EF3

A tornado touched down in the center of Newport causing high-end EF0 to low-end EF1 damage. The tornado briefly went over the water but made landfalll 3 minutes later and hit a suburb as a mid-sized EF2. The tornado reentered the lake and made landfall once again 9 minutes later as only a EF1. The tornado re-intensified and hit the city of Magog as a high-end EF2 causing severe damage to the commercial core. The tornado hit West Sherbrooke at peak strength with winds of 150 mph, and caused very bad damage to dozens of buildings. The tornado dissipated 11 minutes later. 27 dead, 1000 injured $850 million in damage.

North Boston, Massachusetts EF0

Because of the Boston disaster a month earlier, the marathon was postponed to May 9th and a different location. The marathon was to go along the border with New Hampshire, the runners gathered and tons of people came to watch. An unexpected funnel cloud touched down on the crowd and many were killed, the runners were massacred and some EF0 damage also occurred to homes. The small rope tornado dissipated just 6 minutes later. 44 dead, 800 injured, $10 million in damages.

Confirmed
Total
Confirmed
EF0
Confirmed
EF1
Confirmed
EF2
Confirmed
EF3
Confirmed
EF4
Confirmed
EF5
231 109 62 34 15 9 2



May 10th, 2022

The 10th was extremely violent with 487 touchdowns, 2298 dead, 36,765 injured, $480 billion in damage. In addition to the tornadoes, massive gusts of up to 80mph, ping-pong ball sized hail, and extensive flooding cost another 288 lives and $22 billion. The tornadoes targeted Ontario, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and New York.

Toronto-Mississauga, Ontario EF3

Downtown Toronto issued a severe weather warning at 4:39 EST, catching many people by surprise. Based on the outbreak history, people became scared in the idea that a large tornado may track through downtown and cause unprecedented damage. Unstable weather conditions finally mounted into an EF2 tornado that touched down in Etobicoke near Mimico Creek. Mid-level EF2 damage is presented by several hundred buildings across over a dozen neighborhoods. Now a low-end EF3, the tornado causes massive disarray on Highway 427 with several cars flown off into surrounding buildings. The mid-sized EF3 and its 150mph winds pushed into Mississauga, just barely missing the Sherway Gardens Mall. People taking shelter inside celebrated too soon though when a large chunk of building that had been thrown by the twister crashed through the ceiling, injuring almost 40 people. The tornado then sliced through downtown Mississauga, and the damages were devastating. Skyscrapers were almost cleaned of windows, vehicles were uplifted and smashed, and minor ground scouring was seen. As it began to disintensify, the tornado began following the coast to Port credit. The now high-end EF2 dissipated in the Port Credit bay, but now before wrecking the marina and sinking 5 boats. The death toll was placed at 16 lives lost, 300 people sustained injuries including 139 hospitalized. Property damages combined with insurance claims places the total deficit at 769 million dollars lost.

Buffalo-Rochester, New York EF5

A large violent tornado touched down in Angola doing high-end EF2 damage straight away, The tornado enters Buffalo and causes severe damage to the urban core. The EF4 then destroys Lockport and briefly goes over Lake Ontario before remaking landfall and flattens Lyndonville. The tornado continues towards Rochester as the brownish-grey, 2 mile wide, wedge shaped, 295mph EF5 continues on its long track. Cataclysmic damage occurs as entire communities are completely flattened, Foundations cracked, cars tossed several hundred meters, and even the skyscrapers were pushed over. After 200 kilometers of devastation, the tornado dissipated after causing low-end EF1 damage to one more farm. 422 dead, 8000 injured, $125 billion in damages.

Erie, Pennsylvania EF4

A supercell developed in Ohio and a tornado appeared near Conneaut, causing severe damage to the area. A freight train was derailed, immediately prompting EF3 status, but with only high-end EF1 damage to homes and the high school, it did not earn EF3 straight away. After just a couple kilometers to the North-East though, this did come true. As low-end EF3 damage was reported to homes and commercial buildings. The tornado continued into Avonia-Fairview, causing low-end EF4 damage and Ashbury with mid-level EF4 damage. The wedge tornado eventually entered Erie-Westminster, with the funnel being wider than the entire downtown. Catastrophic damage happened in the area, with well-built houses being swept of their foundations. The taller buildings of downtown collapse and significant ground scouring occurs. The tornado still isn't finished, hitting North East as a high-end EF2 and entered New York as a EF1. The tornado made its final stop at Ripley as a mid-sized EF0 and lifts. The tri-state tornado claimed 325 lives, injuring 6500 more, and an estimated $100 billion in property damage.

Kingston, Ontario EF1

This was not an extremely violent EF5 like you might expect, it was very weak but its size stunned meteorologists. An unusual quarter mile wide low-end EF0 touched down on Napanee causing only very minor damage, the worst of which was a house that had a small part of roof torn off. The twister, now just under a full mile wide, hit Odessa causing high-end EF0 damage. A tornado emergency was issued for the Kingston area with the message THIS IS A POTENTIAL MASS CASUALTY SITIUATION as the 1 and three quarters of a mile wedge entered city limits. Because of its immense size, the weather people assumed it must be a high-end EF4 or EF5. Little did they know it only had winds of around 100mph. The tornado did cause some decent damage, and the government was happy that the citizens went full measures to protect themselves, the tornado lifted not long after leaving the city. The rather long-tracked EF1 killed 1 and injured 48 more, $500 million in damages and clean-up costs.

Montreal-Laval, Quebec EF3

The storm that dropped the EF3 that devastated parts of Sherbrooke spawned another tornado near Lachute, causing low-end EF2 damage to dozens of buildings before hitting Mirabel International and parts of Sainte Thérèse. The low-end EF3 then struck Laval, causing severe damage and uplifting a semi. The tornado at its peak, as a high-end EF3 with winds of 160mph slammed into downtown Montreal. The damage here was awful, hundreds of buildings had their windows blown out, skyscrapers lost top floors, and mobile homes were swept away. The destructive urban tornado continued to Chambley and Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu causing mid-level EF2 and low-end EF1 damages, respectively. The tornado that claimed 22 lives, injured 400 more, and caused just over $2 billion in damages dissipated shortly after.

Toledo-Cleveland-Youngstown, Ohio EF5

A historic tornado for Ohio. A large violent high-end EF3 touched down smack in the middle of Downtown Toledo, badly damaging many tall buildings. The tornado also hits Sandusky as a mid-sized EF4. A tornado emergency was issued for the Cleveland metro as the now EF5 with winds of 265mph becomes stupidly long tracked and becoming a threat to many areas. Many smaller commercial buildings are reduced to cracked slabs of concrete and the downtown skyscrapers are stripped to their steel skeletons. After leaving Cleveland in ruins the still EF5 hits Youngstown, and causing barely lighter destruction. The tornado, still a high-end EF4 after leaving the city immediately lifts. It weirdly lifted sideways, unexpectedly destroying a commercial 787 that was flying a entire 5 miles to the West. 520 were killed (286 from the plane) and over 6000 injured, also an incredible $135 billion in damages and cleanup.

Syracuse, New York EF3

A EF1 spawned a few miles South of Fulton and tracked through forested areas causing minor damage to a few homes. The now high-end EF2 slammed into North Syracuse. Many roofs and exterior walls were removed, cars uplifted, most trees snapped/uprooted, and moderate damage to the airport. The tornado then peaked as a mid-sized EF3 with winds reaching 150 MPH as it hit downtown. Damage was extensive as skywalks were collapsed, almost all windows blown out, public parks littered, and overpasses downed. The tornado eventually dissipated after causing some high-end EF0 damages when hitting Nedrow. 22 dead, over 400 injured, $2 billion in damage.

Chatham-Kent, Ontario EF5

A violent tornado touched down in Salisbury and did high-end EF2 damage to the town, it then hit Jeannette as a mid-sized EF3. The next victim was Prairie Siding, which sustained devastating EF4 damage. A tornado emergency was issued for the Chatham-Kent area and its 100,000+ residents. The tornado, now a violent EF5 with winds reaching 220mph, half the width of the whole city. 60% of Chatham-Kent was demolished, the downtown buildings sustained incredible damage, hundreds of houses were completely flattened, cars tossed out of the city limits, and a public shelter had its roof uplifted. The tornado turned West and reached Wallaceburg and destroyed it with 205mph winds. It even managed to reach Sarnia as a high-end EF3 causing severe damage to Eastern residential areas. The tornado weakened quickly when it entered Lake Huron and dissipated. 79 dead, 1500 injured, $40 billion in damage.

Confirmed
Total
Confirmed
EF0
Confirmed
EF1
Confirmed
EF2
Confirmed
EF3
Confirmed
EF4
Confirmed
EF5
487 218 129 76 46 15 3



May 11th, 2022

On this day, tornadoes moved West into the prairies in Manitoba, Saskatchewan, Alberta, the Dakotas, Montana, and Minnesota. 145 tornadoes reported, 46 dead, 391 injured, around $3 billion in damages.

Altona-Pembina, Manitoba-North Dakota EF1 "The Cross Country Tornado"

Altona, still recovering from the EF3 that crippled it 3 days ago, was surprised to find a large storm and a chance of tornadoes brewing in Southern Manitoba. An EF0 touched down in Plum Coulee and hit Altona as a low-end EF1. The aftermath was actually quite bad as infrastructure and basic services were all on low while the town was reconstructing, setting days of progress back. The tornado continued South and peaked as a high-end EF1 and caused damage in Gretna. People were stunned when the tornado crossed the international border and caused mid-level EF1 damage in Neche. It turned to the East and hit Pembina as a low-end EF0 and dissipated. 14 injured, $100 million in damage.

Bottineau, North Dakota EF3

A funnel cloud was detected just northwest of Souris, which saw EF1 damage including stripped roofs and several cars overturned. Carbury was also hit with EF2 winds, the little hamelet saw severe damage from the tornado. At this point, the wedge tornado began to concerningly head south towards Bottinueau, citizens recieved and tornado warning urging them to take cover. Despite most heading to their basement or the local underground shelter, a group of brave people stayed out to watch the tornado. However, the wind came too quickly and they were not able to get to shelter, many of them died. The tornado continued south until dissipating 10 minutes later. 19 dead (14 of which were the tornado watchers), 80 injured (23 tornado watchers), and around $1 billion in damages. After this tragedy, uncertified tornado watchers were banned from close tornado watching. Sheltering was made mandatory for all but approved meteorologist services.

Calgary, Alberta EF1

At 5:57 MST, Airdrie, a town around 10 kilometers north of Calgary, begins reporting severe thunderstorm activity with the probability of tornadoes. A funnel cloud is reported just east of Airdrie and impacts the southern parts of the town, causing high-end EF0 damage. Balzac was also hit by the tornado, though no identifiable damage was found. The Calgary International Airport was hit directly, recording mid-level EF1 damage. Pieces of roof stripped or callapsed in, several commercial planes damaged, and over a dozen airport vehicles flipped. The tornado reached its peak as a high-end EF1 with winds of 105 MPH, damage of this level was seen near the University of Calgary and Nose Hill Park. As it crossed the Trans-Canada Highway, several parts of the road were badly cracked and service had to be suspended, the T train also had to stop service to Tuscany and Crowfoot stations as the rails were blocked. The tornado quickly dissipated after leaving the city. 2 people were confirmed dead with another presumed. 30 people injured and 85 million dollars in damage delt.

Aberdeen, South Dakota EF3

Definitely the worst tornado reported on the 11th, Richmond began to report supercell activity and rotating clouds at 6:01 CST. A small rope tornado was found 6 minutes later, mid-level EF0 damage occured to three houses and several dozen trees. The tornado quickly intensified and moved southeast to Richmond Heights, causing EF2 damage. A Tornado warning was sent to Aberdeen and its 30,000 residents. The tornado sweeped into the town's northern areas as a high-end EF3 with winds nearing 160 MPH, causing devastating damage to the Presentation College and over 200 homes. The tornado then headed south to the Sanford-Aberdeen Medical Center as a low-end EF3, doing severe damage to the building. The roof was partially ripped off and almost a hundred cars smashed was some of the damage found by aftermath inspections. The airport was luckily spared from a direct hit but still maintained moderate damage from the outer winds. The twister was now starting to deintensify quickly now but hit Bath as a high-end EF1, damaging 6 buildings. The tornado dissipated several kilometers later, but not before claiming 12 lives, injuring 75 more and causing an estimated 1.4 billion dollars in damages.

this page is under construction plz don't make any changes outside of spelling/grammar mistakes

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