Hypothetical Tornadoes Wiki
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February 25th

Synoptic

A deep, negatively tilted trough started digging through the Central plains on February 25th, 2021. This maxed out effective SRH values across the plains regions to around 400-500 m2/s2 coupled in with MLCAPE Values exceeding 2000J/KG and 3CAPE values exceeding 200J/KG. This was all with mediocre lapse rates of 5.0 C/km. A dry slot in the early morning helped keep morning convection low and allowed the day to destabilize. A moderate risk was issued on February 25th, with the mentioned possibility of multiple long tracked, significant to violent tornadoes.

Confirmed Tornadoes

Confirmed
Total
Confirmed
EF0
Confirmed
EF1
Confirmed
EF2
Confirmed
EF3
Confirmed
EF4
Confirmed
EF5
39 13 11 8 4 2 1


EF

Location

County

Time

Length Width Summary
EF0 2100Z
EF0 2127Z
EF1 2134Z
EF0 2145Z
EF2 2153Z
EF1 Purcell, OK McClain 2201Z 4.2 Miles 300 Yards 1st Tornado of Prague Supercell
EF4 Breckenridge - Garber - Billings OK Garfield, Noble 2217Z 31 Miles 500 Yards This Stovepipe EF4 hit areas of Northern Oklahoma. Flattening numerous homes and barns.
EF0 Slaughterville, OK Cleveland 2218Z 2 Miles 200 Yards 2nd Tornado of Prague Supercell
EF0 Etowah OK Cleveland 2230Z 5 Miles 50 Yards 3rd Tornado of Prague Supercell
EF3 Bethel Acres, OK Pottawatomie 2242Z 7 Miles 1320 Yards 4th Tornado of Prague Supercell
EF1 2249Z
EF0 2250Z
EF2 2259Z
EF5 Shawnee - Prague - Mounds, OK Pottawatomie, Lincoln, Okfuskee, Creek, Okmulgee, Tulsa 2300Z 67 Miles 2640 Yards 51 Deaths 419 Injuries 5th Tornado of Shawnee-Prague Supercell
EF0 2308Z
EF1 2312Z
EF3 Statford OK Garvin, Pontotoc 2320Z 12.6 Miles 900 Yards 7 Deaths 97 Injuries
EF2 2323Z
EF2 2334Z
EF0 2342Z
EF1 2350Z Satellite tornado to EF5
EF1 0002Z
EF4 Glenpool - Bixby - Broken Arrow, OK Tulsa 0020Z 8.6 Miles 1760 Yards 13 Deaths 71 Injuries 6th Tornado of Prague Supercell
EF3 0024Z
EF2 Broken Arrow - New Tulsa - Gregory, OK Tulsa, Wagoner, Rogers 0029Z 21 Miles 450 Yards 8th Tornado of Prague Supercell
EF1 0034Z
EF2 0041Z
EF0 0045Z
EF0 0054Z
EF3 Tiawah - Pryor Creek OK Rogers, Mayes 0103Z 13 Miles 1760 Yards 9th Tornado of Prague Supercell
EF1 Hoot Owl, OK Mayes 0117Z 5 Miles 500 Yards 10th Tornado of Prague Supercell
EF1 0129Z
EF2 Eucha OK Delaware 0134Z 2 Miles 300 Yards 11th Tornado of Prague Supercell. This tornado was shortlived, but still significantly damaged a home and destroyed a trailer home for the time it was on the ground.
EF0 Jay OK Delaware 0140Z 8 Miles 100 Yards Last tornado of Prague Supercell. A weak tornado hit areas north of Jay
EF0 0228Z
EF1 0241Z
EF0 0312Z
EF2 0340Z
EF1 0417Z

Notable Tornadoes

Bethel Acres EF3


The first intense tornado of the Prague supercell would form west of Pink Oklahoma. The tornado rapidly widened and gained a notable Multi-Vortex structure. The tornado would intensify to EF2 strength near Ew County Road 121 destroying numerous trailer homes and significantly damaging 12 framed homes. The tornado would then rapidly intensify to EF3 as it started to widen to 3/4ths of a mile wide. The tornado would flatten numerous framed homes at this point, and completely debarked trees. Homes weren't surveyed again in time for the tornado to be put into consideration to be upgraded to EF4. Although engineers did mention it as a plausible contender. Several people were killed in this location, a dozen more injured. The tornado then would start weakening and shrinking as it moved to the northeast. It would destroy a few more homes before lifting near Bethel Acres. The tornado was widely visible to numerous storm chasers at first, but later as the mesocyclone started occluding, it became completely shrouded in rain. 7 deaths and 32 fatalities came from this tornado, most of the deaths resulting in collapsed homes/mobile homes.

Shawnee - Prague - Mounds EF5

A large wedge shaped tornado touched down west of Shawnee. The tornado rapidly traveled into Northern Shawnee intensifying to HE EF4. A Tornado Emergency was issued as the tornado tore through Northern Shawnee. It intensified further to EF5 for a small area in a commercial area. The tornado then weakened to EF4 as it went through the residential areas, and further to HE EF3. The tornado briefly reintensified to HE EF4 as it crossed I40 destroying several businesses. The tornado weakened back to EF3 destroying numerous poorly structure homes. As the tornado headed for Prague Oklahoma it reached it's max width of 1.5 Miles. A Tornado Emergency was issued for Prague Oklahoma, the tornado then rapidly intensified to EF5 as it entered Prague. The tornado was wider than the town itself, decimating the town. The EF2+ contour was 1 mile wide, the EF4 contour was 0.45 miles wide. The town was left unrecognizable. The tornado started to become rainwrapped as it moved to the North east. The tornado weakened as well to EF3, destroying areas north of Paden and east of Arlington. The tornado slightly intensified as it entered Wilty to EF4 strength, destroying nearly every structure in town. The tornado then intensified to EF5 briefly outside of town, flattening a well built, and well anchored brick home. The home had metal reinforcement of the brick, and was 3 stories tall. The tornado then went on a weakening trend soon after. The tornado then entered areas southwest of Mounds, the tornado briefly reintensified to EF4 flattening two well built homes. The tornado then rapidly weakened soon lifting just past the Creek/Tulsa county line, just east of Mounds. This tornado caused 51 Deaths, and 419 injuries across it's entire path. It was one of the earliest EF5s in Oklahoma on record and caused Millions in damage.

Bixby - Broken Arrow EF4


A tornado touched down north west of Bixby and instantly grew significant as it hit a subdivision. 3 Homes in this subdivision were rated EF3/140. The tornado weakened as it headed to cross the Arkansas River. The tornado crossed the Arkansas river and started widening out, as well as intensifying. The tornado intensified to LE EF4 as it a few businesses south of Woodfield Estates. The tornado weakened slightly but would re-intensify to HE EF4 once it crossed into commercial and residential areas near Bridle Trails. 11 People died in this location, 3 of which were in vehicles. The tornado continued to the Northeast, weakening to EF3 strength and shrinking. The tornado re intensified briefly the EF4 as it crossed into a neighborhood south of Cedar Ridge Heights. 6 homes at this location were swept away, and 2 more people were killed. The tornado then started a general weakening trend as it moved to the North East. It slightly intensified to LE EF3 prior to lifting.

Broken Arrow - New Tulsa - Gregory EF2

The supercell immediately cycled right before the Bixby EF4 died, putting down a long tracked EF2. The tornado reached a max width of 0.25 miles near New Tulsa. The tornado first touched down in southern Broken Arrow, the tornado rapidly intensified to EF2 as it tore through neighborhoods. Numerous homes were significantly damaged or destroyed at HE EF2 strength. The tornado weakened briefly to EF1, but re-intensified to EF2 in an industrial portion of Broken Arrow. The tornado exited Broken Arrow and weakened to EF0 but started to broaden out. The tornado then crossed Creek Turnpike and re-intensified to EF2 strength. Numerous vehicles were flipped on the highway, and 2 people were killed. The tornado then went into a neighborhood significantly damaging numerous well structured homes at EF2 strength. It was here it was at it's peak strength. The tornado then weakened briefly but gained strength, hitting several homes on the outskirts of New Tulsa. The tornado weakened back to EF0 and started shrinking in width. The tornado briefly had pockets of EF1 damage but eventually would lift near Gregory.

Tiawah - Pryor EF3

A tornado touched down east of Tiawah and rapidly intensified to EF3 as it moved east. The tornado destroyed two poorly constructed homes, and significantly damaged a few others. It debarked numerous trees near the beginning of it's path. The tornado weakened as it moved to the north east but reintensified as it struck farmsteads south west of Pryor Creek. The tornado destroyed numerous homes and barns. Numerous trees were debarked and ground was scoured up to 6 inches in these areas. The tornado weakened as it moved quickly to Pryor Creek. The tornado re-intensified as it entered areas north of Pryor Creek. It hit a mobile home park at EF3 strength for a brief time. The tornado then quickly weakened and eventually lifted.

Stratford EF3

A tornado touched down near Longmire lake and started producing weak roof damage to homes. The tornado then intensified to EF2, completely destroying a mobile home and significantly damaging trees. The tornado then intensified to EF3 briefly when hitting a grove of trees, they were snapped and debarked. The tornado weakened back to EF2 for a brief period. The tornado then entered Western Stratford, it reached it's max intensity of EF3/155. Numerous homes were significantly damaged or destroyed. The tornado quickly moved through northern stratford slightly weakening to LE EF3. The tornado then hit Stratford High school, damaging it. The tornado exited Stratford, weakening to EF2 for a brief period of time. The tornado then re-intensified to LE EF3 when significantly damaging a well built, 2 story brick home, and a trailer home. The tornado then weakened to EF2 when entering Pontotac county. The tornado became rainwrapped and weakened as it continued to the North East. The tornado slightly intensified to EF3 briefly while shrinking in width, destroying a weekly anchored home. The tornado then quickly weakened and started roping out, eventually lifting east of Sandy Creek 29th Reservoir.

February 26th

Synoptic

The trough from February 25th was now moving through southern Midwestern regions and the Deep south. Convection from the night before was killed off via a dry air mass, the same dry air mass that was in place for much of the early morning hours of February 26th. A high risk was issued on this day, with a tornado risk of 45% Hatched. Widespread effective SRH values exceeding 900 m2/s2 were noted as well as CAPE values exceeding 4000J/KG. Lapse Rates over the areas exceeded 7C/km and 3CAPE values of 300J/kg. Numerous long tracked, intense to violent tornadoes would occur on this day, as well as a prolific wind event from a QLCS coming up from behind it. The QLCS would eventually weaken and travel over areas on February 27th just after midnight.

Confirmed Tornadoes

Confirmed
Total
Confirmed
EF0
Confirmed
EF1
Confirmed
EF2
Confirmed
EF3
Confirmed
EF4
Confirmed
EF5
0 0 0 0 0 0 0


Notable Tornadoes

February 27th

Synoptic

Finally the last day of the outbreak saw a more Northernly wind componet come into play. Widespread SRH values were near 300m2/s2 but MLCape exceeded 3000J/kg, as well as Lapse Rates being near 5C/km. Widespread 3Cape values were near 100J/KG. A lower-end moderate risk was issued for multiple strong tornadoes as well as widespread winds from a prolific QLCS.

Confirmed Tornadoes

Confirmed
Total
Confirmed
EF0
Confirmed
EF1
Confirmed
EF2
Confirmed
EF3
Confirmed
EF4
Confirmed
EF5
0 0 0 0 0 0 0


Notable Tornadoes