Tornadoes of 2029 (Blackford)

Tornadoes of 2029 (Blackford)

A EF4 tornado near Somerset, Michigan on April 28
Season	2029
Timespan	January 2-December 31
Maximum rated tornado	EF5 tornado
Dates of maximum rating	Cannon Ball, North Dakota on April 16 Hell, Michigan on April 28 Detroit, Michigan on April 28
Tornadoes	1,285 confirmed
Damage	unknown
Fatalities	196 (U.S.), 302 (worldwide)

This page documents notable tornadoes and tornado outbreaks worldwide in 2029. Strong and destructive tornadoes form most frequently in the United States, Argentina, Brazil, Bangladesh, and Eastern India, but can occur almost anywhere under the right conditions. Tornadoes also develop occasionally in southern Canada during the Northern Hemisphere's summer and somewhat regularly at other times of the year across Europe, Asia, Argentina, and Australia. Tornadic events are often accompanied by other forms of severe weather, including strong thunderstorms, strong winds, and hail. 2029 was a particularly destructive year in more northern parts of the United States not used to stronger tornadoes, with violent tornadoes being reported in the states of Wisconsin, Minnesota, North Dakota, and Michigan at one point or another in the year, and all 3 EF5 tornadoes in 2029 occurred at above the 40th parallel north, a unusual occurrence. In addition, only the third known F5 or EF5 tornado on record in Canada occurred on April 28, after the Detroit EF5 crossed the Detroit River into Windsor and rapidly intensifying, causing a swath of EF5 damage in downtown Windsor, Ontario.

Events

United States yearly total

Confirmed tornadoes by Enhanced Fujita rating

EFU	EF0	EF1	EF2	EF3	EF4	EF5	Total
18	598	486	121	47	12	3	1,285

January

There were 9 tornadoes reported in the United States in January; however 10 were confirmed.

January 3

EFU	EF0	EF1	EF2	EF3	EF4	EF5	Total
0	1	3	1	0	0	0	5

On January 3, the Storm Prediction Center delineated a slight risk of severe thunderstorms over parts of the southeastern United States. This risk, driven by a 15% chance of wind, with no tornado risk highlighted, became the site of a unexpected small tornado outbreak. A EF0 tornado briefly touched down near Collinwood, Tennessee that morning, causing minor tree damage. This was followed not long later by a trunk-shaped EF1 tornado near Lexington, Alabama which destroyed a mobile home, injuring 2 people. A unusually powerful cold-air EF2 tornado produced by a isolated rain shower destroyed a few homes near Guthrie, Kentucky that afternoon as well, becoming one of Kentucky's strongest January tornadoes, and one of the strongest cold-air tornadoes in general. A rope EF1 tornado embedded in a squall line also struck Tanner, Alabama that afternoon, not long after the Lexington EF1. Later that night, as a line of strong thunderstorms rushed across northern Georgia and southeastern Tennessee, producing a EF1 tornado near Rising Fawn, Georgia which injured 1 when it destroyed a cinder-block foundation home.

February

There were 41 tornadoes reported in the United States in February, of which 28 were confirmed.

February 14

EFU	EF0	EF1	EF2	EF3	EF4	EF5	Total
1	5	10	2	1	0	0	19

On the morning of February 14, the Storm Prediction Center issued a moderate risk of severe thunderstorms for parts of the southeastern United States, forecasting the probability for widespread damaging winds, large to very large hail as well as numerous tornadoes (some strong/long-tracked). There were talks of upgrading this risk to a high risk in the 13Z outlook, however uncertainty regarding morning convection resulted in them holding off from this upgrade. The event largely under-performed from the forecast predictions due to various factors, mainly the presence of a capping inversion that failed to erode over the area of highest instability (central and northern Alabama). Despite this, a few strong tornadoes occurred in Georgia and Tennessee, including a powerful multi-vortex high-end EF3 wedge tornado that struck areas south of Chattanooga, Tennessee that evening. 1 person was killed by this tornado, becoming the first tornado casualty of the year. A tornado emergency was issued for Downtown Atlanta that evening on a large tornado that was later rated a EF1. The tornado threat largely diminished after sunset and the risk was downgraded from a moderate to a enhanced risk in the 01Z outlook.

March

There were 162 tornadoes reported in the United States in March, of which 125 were confirmed.

March 1

See main article here: Tornado outbreak of March 1, 2029

EFU	EF0	EF1	EF2	EF3	EF4	EF5	Total
0	18	18	10	3	1	0	48

On the morning of March 1, the Storm Prediction Center highlighted a high risk of severe thunderstorms for parts of the Mississippi and Ohio River Valleys, mainly western Kentucky, southeastern Missouri, southern Illinois, and southwestern Indiana. A tornado outbreak was expected to occur across the region that day, with the possibility of numerous tornadoes, some being intense and long-tracked, being denoted by the Storm Prediction Center. That afternoon, as a warm and moist atmosphere reached up towards central Illinois, bringing near record warmth to large parts of the states of Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, and Ohio, the Storm Prediction Center issued several tornado watches from northeastern Texas to north central Indiana, with 2 being marked as Particularly Dangerous Situation (PDS) watches. Thunderstorm initiation began that afternoon along a large stretch of area expanding from southwest of Chicago to north of Dallas, with the strongest storms initiating along a line from Jonesboro, Arkansas to Cairo, Illinois. Numerous tornadoes touched down that afternoon through that night, including several EF3 tornadoes, and a particularly destructive multi-vortex high-end EF4 wedge tornado that devastated parts of Bowling Green, Kentucky. 3 people were killed by this tornado, which was noted as a near-EF5 tornado. Activity began to slow down that night, and tornado activity largely come to a close by midnight, as it transitioned into a straight-line wind threat.

March 19

See main article here: Tornado outbreak of March 19, 2029

EFU	EF0	EF1	EF2	EF3	EF4	EF5	Total
0	9	17	8	3	0	0	37

On March 19, the Storm Prediction Center highlighted a enhanced risk of severe thunderstorms for parts of the Ohio River Valley and southern Great Lakes, concentrating on the states of Indiana and west central Ohio. The SPC was forecasting a outbreak of severe thunderstorms and tornadoes, including the possibility of one or two strong and long-tracked tornadoes. Numerous thunderstorms developed across Illinois and Kentucky, and moved east across Indiana and Ohio that afternoon. Nearly 40 tornadoes touched down, most of them in Indiana, where March 19 became one of the state's largest single-day tornado outbreaks, with 25 confirmed tornadoes in Indiana that afternoon and evening. Among the tornadoes confirmed included a very high-end EF3 multi-vortex wedge tornado that struck rural areas just northwest of the community of Thorntown, Indiana, and was noted as a possible EF4 tornado. Another EF3 tornado remained over open fields near Denver, Indiana. Structural damage suggested EF3 damage here, however storm surveyors noted some of the most intense ground scouring ever documented, and stated that the tornado was "easily of EF5 intensity at one point or another". Another EF3 tornado struck areas south of Findlay, Ohio that night, noted as a near EF4 in intensity. This would be the first of 3 tornadoes to strike the Findlay area in the 2029 season. Tornado activity came to a close shortly before midnight.

April

There were 217 tornadoes reported in the United States in April, of which 202 were confirmed.

April 1

See main article here: Tornado outbreak of April 1, 2029

EFU	EF0	EF1	EF2	EF3	EF4	EF5	Total
0	3	5	4	0	1	0	13

On April 1, the Storm Prediction Center highlighted a moderate risk of severe thunderstorms for parts of the Great Plains, concentrated on northern Nebraska and southern South Dakota, concerning mainly straight-line winds, with the threat for some tornadoes also being denoted. Numerous showers and thunderstorms occurred across the region that afternoon, merging into a line of semi-discrete supercell thunderstorms that evening as it prompted numerous severe thunderstorm and tornado warnings. Among the tornadoes confirmed included a unusually powerful high-end EF4 tornado that struck mainly rural areas near Monowi, Nebraska, which was noted to had easily been of EF5 intensity at one point or another. A few houses south of the village were destroyed, however the village itself was spared. Tornado activity largely diminished before midnight as the storms weakened.

April 9-10

See main article here: Tornado outbreak of April 9-10, 2029

EFU	EF0	EF1	EF2	EF3	EF4	EF5	Total
0	6	13	3	2	0	0	24

On the morning of April 9, the Storm Prediction Center highlighted a high risk of severe thunderstorms over portions of the Texas Panhandle and western Oklahoma. This risk was concerning the possibility for strong and long-track tornadoes, straight-line winds to 85 mph, and hail to 2 inches in diameter. A highly moist and unstable atmosphere was in place over the region, in addition to high amounts of wind shear. These conditions favored the development of numerous long-tracked, long-lived supercell thunderstorms across the region, and after weather balloon soundings found that the mid-levels were nearly perfect for tornadic development, the Storm Prediction Center upgraded the risk to a 45% + hatched tornado risk. However, storm initiation ended up being a lot messier than forecast, and most storms failed to take advantage of the very unstable environment. A EF3 tornado struck Sweetwater, Oklahoma that evening, sweeping several poorly-built houses from their foundation in what would've otherwise been EF4+ damage. As the evening went on, thunderstorm activity transitioned into several bowing lines in addition to training thunderstorms behind them, which produced strong straight-line winds and flash flooding across much of central Oklahoma. The following day, the Storm Prediction Center issued a slight risk of severe thunderstorms over north Texas, and several tornadic thunderstorms impacted areas north of Dallas, including one storm that produced widespread EF3 damage in Sherman, Texas early that afternoon, killing one person. Activity largely came to a close by the evening of the 10th.

April 15-16

See main article here: Tornado outbreak of April 15-16, 2029

EFU	EF0	EF1	EF2	EF3	EF4	EF5	Total
0	10	16	5	2	1	1	35

On the morning of April 10, the Storm Prediction Center highlighted a moderate risk of severe thunderstorms for large parts of Nebraska, South Dakota, as well as portions of North Dakota, driven by a 15% + hatched risk of tornadoes. The moderate risk was later expanded in the early afternoon, and a small high risk was included in southern North Dakota and northern South Dakota, driven by a 30% + hatched risk of tornadoes. Several supercell thunderstorms developed over the region overnight that night, however failed to live up to expectations, and a significantly unstable atmosphere remained in place on the morning of April 16, triggering a enhanced risk of severe thunderstorms. Numerous thunderstorms developed in the highly unstable atmosphere that morning, including one that produced a EF4 tornado near Mobridge, South Dakota, and another that produced a low-end EF5, the first of the season, near Cannon Ball, North Dakota, sweeping several homes from their foundations while killing no one. Thunderstorm activity continued later that day, although storms congealed into a squall line as they progressed east. Tornado activity continued with mostly EF0 and EF1 tornadoes on April 16 after the morning activity, however largely came to a close by that evening. In total 35 tornadoes touched down, including 2 EF4+ tornadoes, and 1 person was killed.

April 28-29

See main article here: Tornado outbreak of April 28-29, 2029

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