OK, screw the post i finished less than 10 minutes ago.The new model runs are out, and the GFS CAPE model is showing storms kicking up in Texas as soon as 36 hours from now, before much of the Gulf Coast is in the firing line by the overnight hours of Monday into Tuesday, and going strong into Wednesday across much of the Gulf and Central states.
With the CAPE models at 1750 J/Kg3 of air, that favours a significant severe weather outbreak yet again, with parts of Georgia being affected by the outbreak last month back in the firing line for this event.
I cannot stress enough the urgency to stay up to date on the latest model runs, and to keep an eye out for severe weather, and to take immediate shelter when it hits.This year is going to be a ride for the US, with the potentials for the loss of life a concern that should make people want to stay as safe as they can during these events.
Whether or not this season turns out to be bad is too early to know for sure, but with a start to the year like this, its a fairly educated guess for those potentially at risk to take all off the immediate severe weather precautions needed to avoid being the next victims of our increasingly abrupt, unpredictable, wild, and deadly environment. As climate change continues, so will the increase in the number of these events that can occur, and with the jet stream where it is, it favours a bad season this year.
Ill most likely update again at some point tomorrow when i get the chance to bring you up to speed on the latest runs. But until then, all i can say is stay alert.